TSLA — Largest Post-Earnings Loss on Record · $313.03
Published · Updated · By Investus editorial desk (SUNRYU Partners)
Per Roland Pircher, this quarter TSLA is in its largest post-earnings drawdown (largest loss) — currently at $313.03. Extension of the -14% drop and downgrade wave from earlier days. Reversal triggers: Q3 margin recovery, Cybercab wide release, V15 rollout — all axes need substantive progress.
Observation
Per Roland Pircher (Tesla Estimate vs Real EPS and Stock Reaction chart), this quarter TSLA is in its largest post-earnings drawdown (largest loss). Currently at $313.03.
Backdrop
Recent days' flow:
- Q2 record revenue $28.4B (+24% YoY) with Auto GM ex-credits 15% · FCF TTM -$6.4B (from CAPEX +141% YoY)
- Multi-IB downgrade wave (Cantor $475→$445 etc.)
- Barchart close -14% (biggest 13-month loss)
- Cathie Wood bought $51M but stock failed to rebound
- Today dropped to $313.03
Why the Rebound Is Slow
(1) No margin-related consensus upgrades — only downgrades, (2) uncertain CAPEX payback timing behind FCF negative, (3) Robotaxi/Cybercab unit economics unproven, (4) today's -20% YoY energy storage price re-ignites margin concerns, (5) macro hawkish Fed / energy-shock backdrop.
Reversal Trigger Candidates
- Q3 margin recovery (Auto GM improvement)
- Cybercab wide-release official announcement
- V15 customer rollout start
- Continued Cathie Wood follow-through
- Musk 'Best Year Ever' frame turning substantive
- TSLA·SPCX merger scenario clarifying
Each trigger confirming sequentially could enable staged rebound.
Watch
$300 support · institutional flow · time to Q3 earnings.
Sources & further reading
See the body and ticker IR links for sources on this note.
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Disclaimer
This article is editorial research for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security, and does not guarantee any return. Markets carry risk of loss. Verify figures against the primary sources before making decisions.