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Analysis

TSLA — Canada 2026 Model Y Effectively Sold Out · Q2 Sales +98% YoY

Published · Updated · By Investus editorial desk (SUNRYU Partners)

Per Sawyer Merritt / TeslaZoo: Tesla Canada 2026 Model Y allocation nearly exhausted · delivery slipped to Dec-Jan · US→Berlin supply shift avoided tariffs / enabled sub-$60K RWD · Q2 sales +98% YoY.

TSLA — Canada 2026 Model Y Effectively Sold Out · Q2 Sales +98% YoY

Sold-Out Details

Today from Sawyer Merritt and TeslaZoo:

**Delivery ETA (Tesla Canada homepage)**

- Model Y RWD: December 2026 - January 2027

- Model Y AWD: December 2026

- Model Y Performance: December 2026 - January 2027

With 5 months left in the year, delivery already pushed to Dec-Jan indicates 2026 allocation effectively exhausted.

Background: US→Berlin Supply Shift

H1: Tesla shifted Canada Model Y supply from US to Germany (Giga Berlin). Results:

1. **Tariff avoidance**: Reduced US-Canada trade tariff burden

2. **Sub-$60K RWD introduced**: New RWD trim under $60K became possible

3. **Q2 sales surge**: +98% YoY estimated (surge >99K)

4. **Side effect**: Germany→Canada logistics adds time/complexity

No Official Sellout Announcement

Tesla hasn't officially announced sellout, but delivery ETAs indicate effective sellout · nearly all 2026 planned allocation appears claimed.

Why This Data Matters

1. **Tariff-response strategy's real effect**: US→Berlin shift confirms as real +98% YoY sales result

2. **Pricing policy effect**: Sub-$60K RWD absorbs new demand

3. **Canada market positioning strengthens**: Tesla share expansion in EV market

4. **Global supply-chain flexibility validated**: Multi-region production capability is competitive advantage under trade friction

Combined With Recent Flow

- **7/25**: Shanghai Model 3 delivery cut to 2-4 wk (production normalized)

- **Today**: Canada Model Y sold out · +98% YoY

China M3 normalization + Canada MY surge = regional sales realities keep confirming.

Watch Next

(1) 2027 allocation plan reveal, (2) sustainability of US→Canada Model Y transfer, (3) Cybertruck Canada launch plans, (4) similar-strategy application to other tariff-target countries.

Sources & further reading

See the body and ticker IR links for sources on this note.

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Disclaimer

This article is editorial research for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security, and does not guarantee any return. Markets carry risk of loss. Verify figures against the primary sources before making decisions.

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